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Contenuto fornito da Grizzle. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Grizzle o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.
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Bear Market Rally vs New Bull Market with Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research

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Manage episode 362050753 series 3373282
Contenuto fornito da Grizzle. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Grizzle o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.

In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:

Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed

  • Earnings Still Falling
  • Yield Curve Still Inverted
  • Fed Still Hiking
  • Lack of Market Breadth

Why Pies Remains Long Oil

  • Inventory Draws Are Improving
  • OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
  • China Demand Picking Up
  • US Recession Won’t Be Drastic

Will The Fed Pause?

  • Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
  • 5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
  • What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
  • If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder

3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research

Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com

Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle

  continue reading

92 episodi

Artwork
iconCondividi
 
Manage episode 362050753 series 3373282
Contenuto fornito da Grizzle. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Grizzle o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.

In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:

Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed

  • Earnings Still Falling
  • Yield Curve Still Inverted
  • Fed Still Hiking
  • Lack of Market Breadth

Why Pies Remains Long Oil

  • Inventory Draws Are Improving
  • OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
  • China Demand Picking Up
  • US Recession Won’t Be Drastic

Will The Fed Pause?

  • Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
  • 5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
  • What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
  • If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder

3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research

Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com

Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle

  continue reading

92 episodi

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