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BREAKING: Job Market Just Revised Down 800,000! (Payroll Crash)

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Manage episode 435557047 series 2679639
Contenuto fornito da Jeff Snider. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Jeff Snider o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.

Was Macy's the latest victim of the strong labor market? That doesn't make sense, of course, and now the government data has been revised massively lower to better align what really happened last year with where we are this year. The new figures show not just one-third fewer jobs gained, more importantly what that does the rate of change in the rate of change (2nd derivative). It ends up in Macy's sales forecast.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

CNBC Macy’s cuts sales forecast as department stores struggle to draw shoppers
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/macys-m-q2-2024-earnings.html

Macy's Quarterly Results
https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2024/Macys-Inc.-Reports-Second-Quarter-2024-Results/default.aspx

BLS QCEW Home
https://www.bls.gov/cew/

BLS QCEW CES Preliminary Benchmark Announcement
https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesprelbmk.htm

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

  continue reading

917 episodi

Artwork
iconCondividi
 
Manage episode 435557047 series 2679639
Contenuto fornito da Jeff Snider. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Jeff Snider o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.

Was Macy's the latest victim of the strong labor market? That doesn't make sense, of course, and now the government data has been revised massively lower to better align what really happened last year with where we are this year. The new figures show not just one-third fewer jobs gained, more importantly what that does the rate of change in the rate of change (2nd derivative). It ends up in Macy's sales forecast.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

CNBC Macy’s cuts sales forecast as department stores struggle to draw shoppers
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/macys-m-q2-2024-earnings.html

Macy's Quarterly Results
https://www.macysinc.com/newsroom/news/news-details/2024/Macys-Inc.-Reports-Second-Quarter-2024-Results/default.aspx

BLS QCEW Home
https://www.bls.gov/cew/

BLS QCEW CES Preliminary Benchmark Announcement
https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesprelbmk.htm

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

  continue reading

917 episodi

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