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Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed before the end of 2024?
Manage episode 379027532 series 3514719
Contenuto fornito da Foresight Bureau. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Foresight Bureau o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler may face a Congressional subpoena by 2024 following a heated hearing on crypto regulation. Accusations include overreach and ignoring Congress. The episode explores an alleged anti-crypto campaign, "Operation Choke Point 2.0", and potential links between Gensler and FTX's collapse. Stricter crypto regulations, like bans on self-hosted wallets, are discussed. The episode anticipates Gensler's subpoena amidst growing regulatory conflicts.
18 episodi
Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed before the end of 2024?
We aggregate predictions from multiple sources and then curate the results.
CondividiManage episode 379027532 series 3514719
Contenuto fornito da Foresight Bureau. Tutti i contenuti dei podcast, inclusi episodi, grafica e descrizioni dei podcast, vengono caricati e forniti direttamente da Foresight Bureau o dal partner della piattaforma podcast. Se ritieni che qualcuno stia utilizzando la tua opera protetta da copyright senza la tua autorizzazione, puoi seguire la procedura descritta qui https://it.player.fm/legal.
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler may face a Congressional subpoena by 2024 following a heated hearing on crypto regulation. Accusations include overreach and ignoring Congress. The episode explores an alleged anti-crypto campaign, "Operation Choke Point 2.0", and potential links between Gensler and FTX's collapse. Stricter crypto regulations, like bans on self-hosted wallets, are discussed. The episode anticipates Gensler's subpoena amidst growing regulatory conflicts.
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Subscribe to the Foresight Bureau YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 The Fed's Hidden Strategy to Crush China by Crashing Markets Subscribe to Foresight Bureau: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 In this video, we delve into a hypothesis that may explain why The Federal Reserve has chosen not to reduce interest rates, despite widespread expectations for cuts. While critics argue that The Fed is either misinformed or incompetent, the maker of this video believes there’s a strategic, coordinated effort behind the scenes that he calls "The Swarming Defense Hypothesis." This hypothesis suggests that keeping interest rates high serves a greater geopolitical purpose, aimed at weakening adversarial nations like China and Russia by exerting economic pressure. The Fed, much like bees defending their hive, is enduring short-term economic pain to "cook" the economies of these geopolitical threats. This coordinated strategy among Western and Asian allies aims to prevent these nations from financing military conflicts, even at the risk of triggering a global recession. As markets remain volatile and speculation about rate cuts grows, he predicts the Fed will only reduce rates by a modest 0.5% in 2024, using economic strain to maintain a strong dollar. This approach could help avoid larger conflicts, making the economic sacrifice potentially worth it. For investors, understanding this strategy provides insights into asset allocation, with safer investments like U.S. T-Bills and commodities offering stability in these uncertain times. If this analysis resonates with you, please like, subscribe, and share your thoughts in the comments. Let's discuss how these dynamics might shape the global economy in the coming years. #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentStrategy #China #Russia #USEconomy #GlobalRecession #ForesightBureau Timestamps: 00:14 Quick Word from the Video Creator 00:55 Critics Accuse the Fed of Incompetence 01:18 Experts Call for Emergency Rate Cut 03:27 The Swarming Defense Hypothesis 07:04 Economic War on China 08:06 Economic War on Russia 09:05 Bank of Japan & the Fed 10:55 Global Recession in 2025 11:48 Rate Cut Predictions 13:17 Fiscal & Monetary Policy 15:10 Conclusions Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to the Foresight Bureau YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 Watch all the videos in the AI Job Apocalypse series: AI Job Apocalypse (Part 1) A Survival Guide: https://tinyurl.com/AI2TakeJobs AI Job Apocalypse (Part 2a) White-Collar Jobs: https://tinyurl.com/AI2TakeWCJobs AI Job Apocalypse (Part 2b) Blue-Collar Jobs: https://tinyurl.com/AI2TakeBCJobs AI Job Apocalypse (Part 3) Humanoid Robots: https://tinyurl.com/AIJobAp3 AI Job Apocalypse (Part 4) Wealth Inequality: https://tinyurl.com/AIJobAp4 AI Job Apocalypse (Part 5) Machine Economy: https://tinyurl.com/AIJobAp5 The AI revolution is reshaping the global economy, creating unprecedented investment opportunities in the emerging machine economy. This episode explores how investors can position themselves to profit from the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and robotics. From raw materials and energy to semiconductors and blockchain technology, we delve into various sectors poised for growth. We examine Elon Musk's bold predictions about Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot and its potential to transform the workforce, as well as Raoul Pal's insights on the economic implications of AI and robotics. The episode highlights key players in the industry, recommends stocks and ETFs for exposure to the AI and robotics sector, and discusses the crucial role of cryptocurrency and blockchain in facilitating machine-to-machine transactions. We also explore the importance of decentralized AI projects in democratizing AI development and leveling the playing field. As the lines between human and machine labor blur, we consider the urgency of preparing for potential job displacement due to AI advancements. This comprehensive overview of the AI and robotics investment landscape offers valuable insights for both seasoned professionals and retail investors looking to capitalize on what may become the opportunity of a lifetime. By understanding the dynamics of the machine economy and its far-reaching implications, viewers can make informed decisions to secure their financial futures in an increasingly automated world. The episodes covers a wide range of topics, including the potential impact of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) on global productivity and economic growth. We discuss the challenges and risks associated with rapid technological progress, such as regulatory uncertainty and public apprehension about AI's societal impacts. The importance of sustainable energy solutions to power the growing demands of AI and data centers is emphasized, along with investment opportunities in clean energy technologies. We delve into the critical role of semiconductor manufacturing and the geopolitical risks associated with the current concentration of production in Taiwan. The episode also explores emerging technologies like small modular reactors (SMRs) and their potential to revolutionize clean energy production. Furthermore, we examine the concept of Digital Physical Identity Networks (DePIN) and how blockchain protocols will enable machines to possess unique, verifiable digital identities, facilitating secure and efficient machine-based transactions. The potential for new business models and financial services tailored for the machine economy is discussed, along with specific blockchain projects at the forefront of these innovations. By providing a comprehensive analysis of the investment landscape in AI and robotics, this episode aims to equip viewers with the knowledge needed to navigate and profit from the transformative changes brought about by the machine economy. #AIInvestment #MachineEconomy #RoboticsStocks #BlockchainAI #CryptoInvesting #TeslaOptimus #AGIRevolution #CleanEnergyTech #SemiconductorStocks #DecentralizedAI #JobAutomation #ETFInvesting #FinancialFutures #AIEconomy #TechInnovation Timestamps: 00:31 Introduction to the machine economy 02:32 Artificial General Intelligence 05:27 Robotics and embodied AGI 07:28 Only six years to prepare 10:18 Geopolitical risks 11:52 Investment opportunities 19:25 Machine commerce Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to Foresight Bureau: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 Brace yourself for the rise of the machine economy, a disruptive force reshaping industries and society as we know it. In our captivating video, we delve into the profound implications of this technological revolution, exploring the potential for exacerbated wealth inequality, social upheaval, and the concentration of power in the hands of a technologically superior few. Discover the pioneering companies spearheading this seismic shift, harnessing the power of artificial intelligence and robotics to drive unprecedented innovation. Gain invaluable insights into strategies for securing your financial future by investing in the burgeoning AI and robotics value chain, from groundbreaking startups to cutting-edge asset classes like real-world asset tokens. Uncover the boundless opportunities to generate sustainable wealth and passive income streams in this trillion-dollar industry in the making. Our video unveils the transformative potential of autonomous machines and the digital tokens set to facilitate seamless machine-to-machine transactions for gateway access, data acquisition, energy consumption, and processing power utilization. Don't miss this eye-opening glimpse into the future of the machine economy and the keys to thriving amidst profound change. Equip yourself with the knowledge and foresight to navigate the challenges and capitalize on the lucrative prospects that lie ahead in this rapidly evolving landscape. #MachineEconomy #AIInvesting #RoboticsInvestments #WealthCreation #TechStartups #Tokens #AutonomousMachines #DisruptiveTechnology #RobotCompanies #PassiveIncome #FinancialFuture #InnovativeAssets #AutonomousTransactions #TechRevolution #WealthInequality Timestamps: 00:52 Why AI will lead to wealth inequality 02:12 Growing dissatisfaction with AI 05:11 Growing wealth inequality 08:19 Threat of unethical practices 11:40 Potential war over compute 12:58 Useless class and enfeeblement 15:58 Divided society and civil unrest Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to Foresight Bureau: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 Delve into the Future of Humanoid Robots: A New Era of Work and Automation In this episode of Foresight Bureau, we explore the cutting edge of humanoid robotics, showcasing the most advanced and promising projects from leading companies and innovative startups worldwide. We delve into the reasons behind the growing popularity of humanoid robots, their unique advantages in human-centric environments, and their potential to revolutionize industries like manufacturing, logistics, and healthcare. Discover the incredible capabilities of robots like Tesla's Optimus, designed to handle a wide range of human tasks, and Figure AI's Figure 01, a versatile humanoid biped that could become your future colleague. Witness the agility of Agility Robotics' Digit, the dexterity of Apptronik's Apollo, and the impressive feats of Boston Dynamics' Atlas. Marvel at the human-like movements of MagicLab's MagicBot, the versatility of Kawasaki Heavy Industries' Kaleido, and the interactive charm of SoftBank Robotics' Pepper. Explore the advanced features of Naver Labs' Ambidex, the research potential of Rainbow Robotics' RB-Y1, the animal-inspired agility of AGIBOT's Expedition A1, the cloud-based intelligence of Dataa Robotics' XR-4, and the therapeutic applications of Fourier Intelligence's GR-1. Learn about the upcoming Kepler 01 robot, the versatile Astribot S1, and the impressive capabilities of UBTECH Robotics' Walker S. We'll discuss the implications of these advancements, considering both the potential benefits and challenges they pose.How will these robots impact employment? What ethical considerations need to be addressed? How can we ensure that these technologies are developed and deployed responsibly? Join us on this journey into the future of robotics as we witness the incredible potential of humanoid robots to transform our world. Whether you're a tech enthusiast, an investor looking for opportunities in this burgeoning industry, or simply curious about the future of work and automation, this video is a must-watch. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated on our latest explorations into the world of technology and innovation. #ArtificialIntelligence #Tesla Optimus #Figure01 #AgilityRobotics #Apptronik #Humanoid #Biped #Robots Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome to Foresight Bureau 00: 18 Advantages of humanoid robots 02:4 0 Robotics sector worth trillions 02: 55 Future robot investments 03: 15 Most advanced robots 12 :17 Society will adapt to robots 12:50 Global robot market by 2035 Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to the Foresight Bureau Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 The robot revolution is here, and it's set to transform the world of blue-collar work. This video explores the shocking impact of AI and robotics, examining why robots are becoming cheaper and more capable than humans. We'll identify the blue-collar jobs most likely to be automated and the sectors where change will happen the fastest. Don't get left behind in the AI job apocalypse! Click to learn how these changes will unfold and discover strategies to position yourself for success in the emerging machine economy. #ArtificialIntelligence #AGI #ASI #FutureTech #MachineLearning #EthicsInAI #TechnologyEvolution Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome to Foresight Bureau 04:30 Global economy needs robots 05:54 Enabling Technologies 06:24 Economics of robotic workers 07:09 Threat to blue-collar jobs 08:37 Industry Sectors (examples) 15:00 Opportunities Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to the Foresight Bureau YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 In the latest episode from Foresight Bureau, we delve deep into the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation, highlighting its profound impact on the job market across both white and blue-collar industries. From the healthcare sector, where AI-powered agents are outperforming nurses, to the creative realms of Hollywood shaken by AI-generated content, no field remains untouched by this technological revolution. With examples from various sectors, we explore the imminent shift towards an era where jobs, traditionally performed by humans, are increasingly being automated or augmented by AI technologies. This episode not only sheds light on the advancements in AI, from generative models to the speculative reaches of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI), but also addresses the social and economic challenges that accompany mass unemployment. The discussion extends to the potential necessity of universal basic income as a solution to displacement caused by automation, raising critical questions about the future of work, ethics, and the human search for meaning beyond employment. Join us as we navigate the complexities of the AI job apocalypse, examining how society might adapt to these unprecedented changes. Whether it’s through embracing new opportunities in the machine economy or redefining the value of human creativity and labor, this episode offers a thought-provoking analysis on preparing for a future shaped by AI and automation. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with our insightful content on adapting and thriving in the face of technological disruption. #ai #aijobapocalypse #automation #ubi #universalbasicincome #artificialintelligence #machineeconomy Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome to Foresight Bureau 00:15 Made redundant by AI tech 03:55 Artificial Super Intelligence 05:08 Act now and start preparing 05:15 Jobs most affected by AI 06:26 Industry Sectors (examples) 11:40 Widespread unemployment 12:00 Opportunities Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureau FB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to the Foresight Bureau YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBur...https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 In this eye-opening video from Foresight Bureau, we dive into the transformative and somewhat alarming trend of AI and robotics reshaping the job market. The video explains that no job, whether it be prestigious positions held by Ivy League graduates, or skilled blue-collar work, no one is safe from the impending job apocalypse. This video not only serves as a crucial wake-up, but also a call to action. That’s because it’s important to prepare and make plans before machines start to dominate the workforce. We embark on a series aimed at unraveling the impact AI and robots will have on employment, showcasing evidence that the shift towards non-human workers is not a future possibility but an impending reality. With tech giants like Microsoft and Google leading the charge in integrating AI to streamline operations and cut costs, the question is no longer if automation will affect jobs, but how quickly. The subsequent episodes promise to shock you with the rate of AI and robotics development, dissect the economic upheavals automation could cause, and explore the commercial landscape of the machine economy, highlighting potential winners and losers. The series will help you imagine a future where autonomous machines transact value globally at the speed of light, boosting economic output to unprecedented multi-trillion dollar levels. This radical "machine economy" may sound like science fiction, but it's rapidly becoming reality... You will also discover how cutting-edge Web3 technologies like blockchain and tokenization will enable a vast networked ecosystem of AI and robots to exchange value and resources without human intervention. It's the foundation for unleashing the full potential of automation and artificial intelligence across every industry. Those with the foresight to invest early in the right ventures could accrue unimaginable wealth from the value generated by autonomous labor. Throughout the series you'll discover: - The shocking truth: Most jobs will soon be automated, and even highly skilled professionals are at risk. - Why you need to act now: The pace of AI development is accelerating beyond our ability to comprehend. - Real-world examples: See how companies are already using AI to replace both white and blue-collar workers. - How to profit from the impending machine economy: Learn which companies will win and lose in the coming automation revolution. - Hope for the future: Explore the potential of Web3 technologies and learn how to profit from the vast potential wealth that will be generated from the machine economy. This video is a must-watch for anyone concerned about the future of work, the rise of automation, and how to prepare for the changes ahead. Don't miss this compelling narrative on the realities of AI and robotics in our lives. Subscribe and follow Foresight Bureau to stay informed. Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome to Foresight Bureau 00:19 Your livelihood is under threat 01:19 Summary of this video series 03:40 All the big tech layoffs of 2024 04:50 AI replaces 700 workers at Klarna 06:17 Robots to replace blue-collar jobs 06:40 Huge advancements in robots Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to Foresight Bureau Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 Exploring the dynamic between the United States and India, this episode delves into the potential of forming a superpower alliance that could redefine global economic and military landscapes. As two of the world's largest democracies, the U.S. and India share a commitment to democratic values and the rule of law, despite their diverse governance styles and domestic challenges. This analysis covers the economic, military, and technological aspects that foster cooperation, the strategic implications of their relationship, and how this partnership could emerge as a formidable force against common challenges, including China's assertive policies. From defense collaborations and economic ties to cultural exchanges and technological innovations, we unpack the complexities and opportunities of this evolving alliance. With India's economy projected to become the third largest by 2030 and increasing military and tech engagements with the U.S., the episode underscores the strategic significance of this partnership in the Indo-Pacific region and beyond. Join us in exploring how this alliance is not just a geopolitical shift but a beacon of shared democratic values and mutual growth. #USIndiaAlliance #SuperpowerPartnership #GlobalDominance #EconomicGrowth #MilitaryCollaboration #TechInnovation #DemocraticValues #IndoPacificStrategy #DefensePartners #EconomicOpportunity Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBur... In this thrilling new Foresight Bureau video, we dive into the chilling world of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and its potential to reshape society. Following Sam Altman's dramatic firing and reinstatement at OpenAI, we explore the likelihood of AGI's realization. With insights from John Carmack, we consider the profound changes AGI could bring. Delving into a hypothetical scenario, we envision a world where AGI, manipulated by global elites, spirals out of control, impacting politics, economies, and daily life. This dark narrative, echoing Greek myths and Mary Shelley's Frankenstein, is a stark reminder of the ethical dilemmas of technological advancement. Engage with us in this thought-provoking journey and share your thoughts. Remember, this is just a hypothetical scenario – or is it? 🤔🌐🔮 👀 Catch the full video for a gripping exploration of AGI's potential impact on humanity. #AGI #ArtificialGeneralIntelligence #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #MachineLearning #DeepLearning Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: / foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome to Foresight Bureau 02:06 OpenAI and AGI Speculation 02:42 AI Risk Preparedness 04:04 Global Elites and AGI 04:25 Hypothetical AGI Threats 05:30 Unknown Science 10:32 Disinformation Campaign 11:42 Market Manipulation 14:04 Geopolitical Instability 17:36 End Game Disclaimer: This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.…
Subscribe to our youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ForesightBureau?sub_confirmation=1 This episode explores the hottest debate in AI - when will machines achieve human-level general intelligence or AGI? Leading experts have proposed wildly different timelines, but we combine the power of prediction markets, artificial intelligence, and our own insights to produce our aggregated average forecast date for when AGI is most likely to become a reality. So be sure to listen till the end! You will also discover how you can potentially profit from the machine economy and the autonomous robotic revolution. The rise of AI and robotics will transform our world and unlock huge wealth creating opportunities that could unlock multi-generational riches. Learn how specialised Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) could help you gain exposure to this megatrend and start positioning your portfolio for exponential gains. The AI and robotics revolution could be the biggest opportunity of our lifetime! #AGI #ArtificialGeneralIntelligence #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #MachineLearning #DeepLearning Links to prediction platforms: Metaculus: https://tinyurl.com/fb-predict1 Follow us on social media: Substack: https://substack.com/@foresightbureau Twitter/X: https://x.com/foresightbureau Linkedin: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauLI Facebook: https://bit.ly/ForesightBureauFB Medium: https://medium.com/@foresightbureau Website: https://foresightbureau.com…
Delve into the complex world of geopolitics with our comprehensive analysis of the unexpected Hamas assault on Israeli soil on the morning of October 7th, 2023. This particular confrontation between Israel and Hamas is unparalleled in its intensity and potential ramifications, signaling a pivotal moment in their longstanding conflict. Drawing from a rich tapestry of historical events and leveraging prediction markets, our insights suggest a prolonged conflict, with a mere 10% likelihood of resolution by November. A pivotal factor in this unfolding drama is Iran's speculated involvement. If substantiated, this could dramatically alter the regional dynamics, hinting at a larger, more intricate geopolitical chess game. The US's strategic decision to deploy a significant naval presence in the region further emphasizes the global stakes at play. Economically, the reverberations of this conflict might be felt at gas stations worldwide. With the Middle East's geopolitical instability, we predict a 55% chance that oil prices could soar to $100 a barrel in 2023. Moreover, the diplomatic dance between Saudi Arabia and Israel in the coming months will be crucial. Their potential alliance or lack thereof could redefine Middle Eastern geopolitics for generations.…
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler may face a Congressional subpoena by 2024 following a heated hearing on crypto regulation. Accusations include overreach and ignoring Congress. The episode explores an alleged anti-crypto campaign, "Operation Choke Point 2.0", and potential links between Gensler and FTX's collapse. Stricter crypto regulations, like bans on self-hosted wallets, are discussed. The episode anticipates Gensler's subpoena amidst growing regulatory conflicts.…
This episode explores the potential of military conflict between Russia and China over essential natural resources that Russia possesses and China lacks. In particular it examines China's worsening water shortage, which is most acute in its northern regions. Predictions are provided that offer possible timelines for when China might occupy a region of Russian territory to gain access to Lake Baikal and how likely this is to happen by 2045.…
In this episode we predict the likelihood that a spot Ethereum ETF will be approved by the SEC in 2023. We analyze the probability of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2023 by gathering predictions from platforms like Metaculus, Manifold, and Polymarket as well as AI systems like ChatGPT, Bard, and Claude. Our aggregated average prediction will be revealed at the end.…
This episode explores if and when a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) could launch for public use in the US before January 2031, providing background on how CBDCs differ from cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. It analyzes the potential benefits of faster payments but also highlights the risks around privacy violations, government overreach, and financial control. Predictions are gathered from various sources to calculate an aggregated forecast probability.…
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